Tuesday, February 13, 2007

What Will Syria Do Now?

Breakthrough with North Korea on their talks.

Assuming it is not 1994 all over again, now that North Korea is going to disarm and live happily ever after with the peaceful free nations of the Earth, what impact will this have on Syria?

Will Syria decide to stay with Iran or switch horses mid-race?

Add into the mix:

  • the forthcoming change in dynamics on the ground in Iraq - or lack thereof, and
  • the strength of the US / French pushback in Lebanon to sustain Siniora's government.
Will Iran decide to play their hand more forcibly in Lebanon and Gaza, dragging Israel into conflict again with its neighbours? Would that also discourage Syria from siding with the US?

Is it all connected or just an isolated event?

Stay tuned.

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